American Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology
Volume 200, Issue 1 , Pages 56.e1-56.e6 , January 2009

Can a prediction model for vaginal birth after cesarean also predict the probability of morbidity related to a trial of labor?

  • William A. Grobman, MD, MBA

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
    • ,
  • Yinglei Lai, PhD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at the George Washington University Biostatistics Center, Washington, DC
    • ,
  • Mark B. Landon, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at the Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
    • ,
  • Catherine Y. Spong, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD
    • ,
  • Kenneth J. Leveno, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX
    • ,
  • Dwight J. Rouse, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL
    • ,
  • Michael W. Varner, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
    • ,
  • Atef H. Moawad, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Chicago, Chicago, IL
    • ,
  • Steve N. Caritis, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA
    • ,
  • Margaret Harper, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC
    • ,
  • Ronald J. Wapner, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA
    • ,
  • Yoram Sorokin, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at Wayne State University, Detroit, MI
    • ,
  • Menachem Miodovnik, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, and Columbia University, New York, NY
    • ,
  • Marshall Carpenter, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at Brown University, Providence, RI
    • ,
  • Mary J. O'Sullivan, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Miami, Miami, FL
    • ,
  • Baha M. Sibai, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Tennessee, Memphis, TN
    • ,
  • Oded Langer, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX
    • ,
  • John M. Thorp, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC
    • ,
  • Susan M. Ramin, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at University of Texas at Houston, Houston, TX
    • ,
  • Brian M. Mercer, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology at Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH
    • ,
  • Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network

Received 20 February 2008 ,Revised 25 April 2008 ,Accepted 12 June 2008.

References 

  1. McMahon MJ, Luther ER, Bowes WA, Olshan AF. Comparison of a trial of labor with an elecitve second cesarean section. N Engl J Med. 1996;335:689–695
  2. El-Sayed YY, Watkins MM, Fix M, Druzin ML, Pullen KM, Caughey AB. Perinatal outcomes after successful and failed trials of labor after cesarean delivery. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2007;196:583.e1–583.e5
  3. Guise JM, Merlin M, McDonagh M, Osterweil P, Chan B, Helfand M. Safety of vaginal birth after cesarean: a systematic review. Obstet Gynecol. 2004;103:420–429
  4. Cahill AG, Stamilio DM, Odibo AO, et al. Is vaginal birth after cesarean or elective repeat cesarean safer in women with a prior vaginal delivery?. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2006;195:1143–1147
  5. Caughey AB, Shipp TD, Repke JT, Zelop C, Cohen A, Lieberman E. Trial of labor after cesarean delivery: the effect of previous vaginal delivery. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 1998;179:938–941
  6. Grobman WA, Gilbert S, Landon MB, et al. Outcomes of induction of labor after one prior cesarean. Obstet Gynecol. 2007;109(2 Pt 1):262–269
  7. Grobman WA, Lai Y, Landon MB, et al. Development of a nomogram for prediction of a vaginal birth after cesarean delivery. Obstet Gynecol. 2007;109:806–812
  8. Landon MB, Hauth JC, Leveno KJ, et al. Maternal and perinatal outcomes associated with a trial of labor after prior cesarean delivery. N Engl J Med. 2004;351:2581–2589
  9. Agresti A. Categorical data analysis. In: New York: John Wiley and Sons; 1990;p. 100–102
  10. Menacker F, Declercq E, Macdorman MF. Cesarean delivery: background, trends, and epidemiology. Semin Perinatol. 2006;30:235–241
  11. Macones GA, Peipert J, Nelson DB, et al. Maternal complications with vaginal birth after cesarean delivery: a multicenter study. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2005;193:1656–1662

 Cite this article as: Grobman WA, Lai Y, Landon MB, et al. Can a prediction model for vaginal birth after cesarean also predict the probability of morbidity related to a trial of labor? Am J Obstet Gynecol 2009;200:56.e1-56.e6.

 This study was supported by Grants from the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (HD21410, HD21414, HD27860, HD27861, HD27869, HD27905, HD27915, HD27917, HD34116, HD34122, HD34136, HD34208, HD34210, HD40500, HD40485, HD40544, HD40545, HD40560, HD40512, and HD36801).

 Reprints not available from the authors.

PII: S0002-9378(08)00660-1

doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2008.06.039

American Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology
Volume 200, Issue 1 , Pages 56.e1-56.e6 , January 2009

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