American Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology
Volume 199, Issue 1 , Pages 30.e1-30.e5 , July 2008

Prediction of uterine rupture associated with attempted vaginal birth after cesarean delivery

  • William A. Grobman, MD, MBA

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL
    • Corresponding Author InformationReprints: William A. Grobman, MD, MBA, 333 East Superior St, Suite 410, Chicago, IL 60611.
    • ,
  • Yinglei Lai, PhD

      Affiliations

    • Biostatistics Center, George Washington University, Washington, DC
    • ,
  • Mark B. Landon, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Ohio State University, Columbus, OH
    • ,
  • Catherine Y. Spong, MD

      Affiliations

    • National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, MD
    • ,
  • Kenneth J. Leveno, MD

      Affiliations

    • Departments of Obstetrics and Gynecology at the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX
    • ,
  • Dwight J. Rouse, MD, MSPH

      Affiliations

    • University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL
    • ,
  • Michael W. Varner, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of Chicago, Chicago, IL
    • ,
  • Atef H. Moawad, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
    • ,
  • Steve N. Caritis, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA
    • ,
  • Margaret Harper, MD

      Affiliations

    • Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC
    • ,
  • Ronald J. Wapner, MD

      Affiliations

    • Thomas Jefferson University, Philadelphia, PA
    • ,
  • Yoram Sorokin, MD

      Affiliations

    • Wayne State University, Detroit, MI
    • ,
  • Menachem Miodovnik, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH, and Columbia University, New York, NY
    • ,
  • Marshall Carpenter, MD

      Affiliations

    • Brown University, Providence, RI
    • ,
  • Mary J. O'Sullivan, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of Miami, Miami, FL
    • ,
  • Baha M. Sibai, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of Tennessee, Memphis, TN
    • ,
  • Oded Langer, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX
    • ,
  • John M. Thorp, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC
    • ,
  • Susan M. Ramin, MD

      Affiliations

    • University of Texas at Houston, Houston, TX
    • ,
  • Brian M. Mercer, MD

      Affiliations

    • Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH.
    • ,
  • National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network

Received 5 October 2007 ,Accepted 17 March 2008.

References 

  1. Landon MB, Hauth JC, Leveno KJ, et al. Maternal and perinatal outcomes associated with a trial of labor after prior cesarean delivery. N Engl J Med. 2005;18:339–342
  2. Leung A, Farmer R, Leung E, Medearis A, Paul R. Risk factors associated with uterine rupture during trial of labor after cesarean delivery: a case-control study. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 1993;168:1358–1363
  3. Zelop C, Shipp T, Repke J, Cohen A, Lieberman E. Effects of previous vaginal delivery on the risk of uterine rupture during a subsequent trial of labor. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2000;183:1184–1186
  4. Guise JM, Merlin M, McDonagh M, Osterweil P, Chan B, Helfand M. Safety of vaginal birth after cesarean: a systematic review. Obstet Gynecol. 2004;103:420–429
  5. Landon MB, Spong CY, Thom E, et al. Risk of uterine rupture with a trial of labor in women with multiple and single prior cesarean delivery. Obstet Gynecol. 2006;108:12–20
  6. Macones GA, Cahill AG, Stamilio DM, Odibo A, Peipert J, Stevens EJ. Can uterine rupture in patients attempting vaginal birth after cesarean delivery be predicted?. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2006;195:1148–1152
  7. Grobman WA, Lai Y, Landon MB, et al. Development of a nomogram for prediction of a vaginal birth after cesarean delivery. Obstet Gynecol. 2007;109:806–812
  8. Harrell FE, Lee KL, Mark DB. Multivariable prognostic models: issues in developing models, evaluating assumptions and adequacy, and measuring and reducing errors. Stat Med. 1996;15:361–387
  9. Baker SG. Identifying combinations of cancer markers for further study as triggers of early intervention. Biometrics. 2000;56:1082–1087
  10. Breiman L. Random forests. Machine Learning. 2001;45:5–32
  11. Vapnik V. The nature of statistical learning theory. New York: Springer-Verlag; 1995;
  12. Freund Y, Schapire RE. A decision-theoretic generalization of on-line learning and an application to boosting. J Comp Syst Sci. 1997;55;:119–139
  13. Pare E, Quinones JN, Macones GA. Vaginal birth after caesarean section versus elective repeat caesarean section: assessment of maternal downstream health outcomes. BJOG. 2006;113:75–85

 Supported by grants from the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (HD21410, HD21414, HD27860, HD27861, HD27869, HD27905, HD27915, HD27917, HD34116, HD34122, HD34136, HD34208, HD34210, HD40500, HD40485, HD40544, HD40545, HD40560, HD40512, and HD36801).

 Cite this article as: Grobman WA, Lai Y, Landon MB, et al. Prediction of uterine rupture associated with attempted vaginal birth after cesarean delivery. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2008;199:30.e1-30.e5.

PII: S0002-9378(08)00310-4

doi: 10.1016/j.ajog.2008.03.039

American Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology
Volume 199, Issue 1 , Pages 30.e1-30.e5 , July 2008

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